Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| Match Winner | 100% Acend | 0% Infinite |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Acend and Infinite are set to face off in the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 of the Super DraculaN Playoffs, a BO3 match scheduled for 8:00AM ET on 26 June in Bucharest. On Polymarket today, this contract trades at 100% YES for Acend, priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens, reflecting near-total crowd certainty in the Bulgarian side’s victory despite the match not yet starting.
Historically, Acend has shown dominant form in this tournament, advancing to the Upper Bracket Semi-Finals after a 1-2 victory over GamerLegion and a clean 0-2 sweep against Sashi in earlier rounds[1][2]. Their recent record shows they’ve won three of their last five matches and hold a higher global ranking (#59) than Infinite[3]. Comparable cases in LAN CS2 events suggest that when a team secures upper bracket momentum early, they rarely lose subsequent BO3s unless a major roster disruption occurs.
Traders should monitor Acend’s official announcements for any roster changes or travel delays, as the team recently confirmed stepping in as Bulgaria’s #1 and completing the main bracket[6]. The match’s outcome also depends on the tournament’s live schedule, which may shift due to prior match durations. No major news has emerged to challenge the 100% pricing, but any delay beyond seven days or cancellation would reset the market to 50-50 per the contract terms.
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Acend vs Infinite (BO3) … on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Trade on PolyGram →