Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Inner Circle Esports and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Playoffs is set for 8:00 AM ET today, with the market currently pricing a 0% chance for Inner Circle to win. On Polymarket, this contract trades at zero USDC on the Polygon network, reflecting conditional tokens that will only resolve to Inner Circle if they secure the BO3 victory, while Sharks’ dominance is already embedded in the pricing.

Historically, such extreme probabilities in esports prediction markets often precede a match where one side has already demonstrated overwhelming superiority in the same tournament. In the recent Lower Bracket clash, Sharks defeated Inner Circle 2-0 on Mirage and Nuke, advancing to the playoffs while Inner Circle dropped, a pattern that mirrors how conditional tokens on Kalshi and Polymarket have priced similar mismatches at near-zero before the event [3][4]. The map veto mechanics further compound this, as Inner Circle can ban Nuke to neutralise Sharks’ strongest map, yet Sharks’ prior 2-0 win suggests this tactical adjustment may not alter the outcome [1].

Traders should monitor the official match start time and any live announcements regarding delays or cancellations, as the settlement window expires on 27 June 2026 at 19:40 UTC, with unresolved matches defaulting to a 50-50 split [3]. Recent coverage from GOCORE confirms the map veto strategy is critical, but Sharks’ consistent performance across Mirage and Nuke indicates a high dependency on Inner Circle’s ability to adapt under pressure [1]. No further catalysts are expected beyond the live match progression, as the outcome is verified by HLTLV and Gamers World once a winner is declared [3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.