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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) 100% Volume: $133K Liquidity: $325K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-12.5) vs G2 Ares (+12.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.510%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: counter-strike: ex-rustec vs g2 ares (bo3) - nodwin clutch series group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between ex-RUSTEC and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 29 at 7:00AM ET. This ma…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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