Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Counter-Strike 2 match between ex-Sashi Academy and eternal premium in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group B was initially scheduled for 6:30 AM ET on 25 June, yet the market currently prices the "ex-Sashi Academy" outcome at 0% YES, suggesting the contract is effectively dead or the event has been voided before on-chain resolution[1][2].

Historically, prediction markets for esports qualifiers collapse to zero when teams lack a head-to-head record and one squad fails to materialise for the scheduled slot, mirroring cases where closed qualifiers see matches cancelled due to roster ineligibility or technical dependencies that prevent play[1][3]. Without prior competitive data between these two sides, the crowd-implied probability reflects a near-certain cancellation rather than a competitive contest, as the absence of any H2H history leaves no statistical foundation for a win prediction[1].

Traders should monitor the official European Pro League tournament schedule for any announcements confirming a replay date or a formal cancellation notice, as the settlement window remains open until 19:35 UTC on 26 June 2026[2][5]. Recent updates from the tournament organiser indicate that matches delayed beyond seven days without a winner resolve to a 50-50 split, but the immediate 0% price suggests the event is already deemed unplayable for this specific window[2][6]. Watch for live score feeds on Sofascore or GosuGamers to confirm if the match has been officially logged as a cancellation, which would trigger the conditional token settlement mechanism on the Polygon network using USDC[3][6].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.