Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1? | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 90% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? | 90% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 10% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Rampage | 10% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 10% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 2? | 10% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1? | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket currently prices **0% YES** on the “More markets” contract for BetBoom Team v Team Liquid, which means the market is assigning no probability to the basket of side outcomes being defined in this conditional-tokens market on Polygon, settled in USDC. In practical terms, that leaves the contract at the floor: a trader buying into YES is paying only if one of the listed ancillary conditions resolves in its favour before the settlement window closes, while a 0% print suggests no marginal demand has yet moved the market off zero.
For context, these teams have a recent head-to-head that is not one-sided in either direction. Team Liquid beat BetBoom Team 1-0 in BLAST Slam VII on 27 May 2026, while BetBoom beat Liquid 2-1 at PGL Wallachia Season 8 in March, and the broader record across recent meetings has swung back and forth with both teams taking series from each other. That history matters because “more markets” contracts often sit closer to the event’s structure than to pure win probability: if the series format, map count, or related conditions are what the market resolves on, a trader has to read the matchup through a mechanics lens rather than just a simple favourite-underdog frame.
The main catalysts are operational rather than speculative: final line-ups, series start time, whether the match stays on schedule, and whether any earlier results in the tournament affect the meaning of the extra markets. BLAST and other event pages show both teams still active in Tier-1 Dota this season, so any last-minute substitution, delay, or bracket dependency can matter more for settlement than the headline matchup itself. Because Polymarket contracts settle from verified outcomes rather than bookmaker opinion, the key watchpoints are the official match page, tournament bracket updates, and any late roster or format announcements before the 22:00 UTC settlement deadline.
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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