Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 1 Winner | 100% |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 87% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 55% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 55% |
| Match Winner | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Ends in Daytime | 50% |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 50% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Rampage | 50% |
| Game 2 Winner | 13% |
| Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5) | 13% |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 1% |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 1% |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket prices this Dota 2 playoff contract at **86% YES** today, implying the market is assigning a strong chance that Power Rangers beat Yellow Submarine in the scheduled best-of-three on Polygon, with settlement handled through USDC-backed conditional tokens. The event itself is an upper-bracket quarterfinal in the EPL Masters Playoffs, and live listings show the series as due to start around 09:00 UTC, although the exact slate can move with broadcast and organiser timing[1][3][8][9].
The current price is not unusual for a name with a decent but not overwhelming edge. Recent head-to-head data shows the teams have split high-stakes meetings in the wider 2026 cycle: Yellow Submarine won their June bo3 at The International Europe Closed Qualifier 2-1, while Power Rangers had been priced as the favourite by several bookmakers in other matchups around the same period[4][13][15]. That combination of a clear market lean and live uncertainty is exactly what a Polymarket contract is meant to capture, especially when the payout depends on a completed series rather than raw map count[9].
The main catalysts are straightforward: whether the match starts on time, whether the broadcasted bracket still stands, and whether either side announces a forfeit, delay, or schedule change. Liquipedia lists EPL Masters I as a $100,000 event with direct playoff invites and a double-elimination bracket, so traders should watch for organiser updates if the schedule slips or the series is rescheduled, because a delay beyond seven days would force the market to 50-50 under the contract rules[8][11][9].
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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