Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Game 2 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Match Winner | 92% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 55% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 53% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 48% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 48% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 48% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 48% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 48% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 45% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 45% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 45% |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% |
| Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) | 0% |
| Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5) | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this DN SOOPers–Kiwoom DRX BO3 at **0% YES** on-chain, so the contract is effectively assuming no paid-up outcome in favour of DN SOOPers at current levels. On Polymarket, this wager is a USDC-settled conditional token on Polygon, so the quoted price reflects traders’ view of the match result, not a broader opinion on either team’s form.
The market has a straightforward recent precedent: Kiwoom DRX swept DN SOOPers 2-0 on 6 August, and Polymarket’s own event page cites that as the latest competitive edge for DRX[2]. External price screens also point the same way, with Kiwoom DRX heavily favoured and DN SOOPers given only a minority win chance on comparable match listings[6][15]. That kind of prior result matters in a BO3 because a clean sweep leaves less evidence that the underdog can force a longer series, which is usually where pricing can drift if the favourite’s map control looks less secure.
The main catalysts for traders are confirmation that the series actually starts on schedule, the final bracket path in the KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier, and any last-minute roster or broadcast updates. Sofascore lists the match for 10 August at 08:15 UTC[1], while Polymarket notes that if the match is cancelled, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market resolves 50-50[2]. For a user holding the conditional token, the practical watchpoint is simple: if play begins and finishes normally, the contract should settle to the named winner; if the event slips materially or never happens, settlement mechanics override the sporting handicap.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - Ke… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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