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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Match Winner 78% Game 1 Winner 68% Game 2 Winner 67% Game 3 Winner 67% Volume: $106K Liquidity: $561K Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner78%
Game 1 Winner68%
Game 2 Winner67%
Game 3 Winner67%
O/U 3.5 Games67%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)62%
Game 4 Winner60%
Any Player Penta Kill52%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor51%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors51%
Any Player Quadra Kill51%
Odd/Even Total Kills51%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50%
Any Player Penta Kill50%
Odd/Even Total Kills50%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon50%
First Blood in Game 4?50%
First Blood in Game 3?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?50%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Any Player Quadra Kill49%
Both Teams Slay a Dragon49%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?49%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?37%
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?37%
Game Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)32%
O/U 4.5 Games31%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%
Any Player Penta Kill27%

Market context

Market consensus: 78% chance of pronóstico: lol: g2 esports vs lyon (bo5) - mid-season invitational playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between G2 Esports and LYON in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 10 at 4:00AM ET. This…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Seas… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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