Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 82% |
| Game 1 Winner | 74% |
| Game 2 Winner | 73% |
| Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | 54% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 54% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 54% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 53% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 53% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 52% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 52% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 52% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% |
| First Blood in Game 1? | 50% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 49% |
| First Blood in Game 2? | 49% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 42% |
| Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? | 39% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 38% |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 13% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 10% |
Market context
Market consensus: 82% chance of pronóstico: lol: top esports vs lgd gaming (bo3) - lpl group ascend. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the LoL match between Top Esports and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Es…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - L… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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