Pronóstico: LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Market context

Vivo Keyd Stars face LOS in a best-of-three League of Legends match within Brazil's CBLOL regular season, scheduled for 15 August at 2:00PM ET. The Polymarket contract currently prices Vivo Keyd Stars' victory at 32%, implying roughly 68% probability assigned to LOS. This pricing reflects conditional token mechanics on Polygon, where USDC collateral backs both outcome tokens; traders holding YES tokens receive full value only if Keyd Stars win, whilst NO token holders profit on any LOS victory.

Keyd Stars have historically occupied the lower-to-mid tier of CBLOL standings, whilst LOS similarly competes in the league's competitive middle band. Recent seasons show neither team has established dominant form sufficient to command heavy favourite status in regular-season fixtures. The current 32% probability for Keyd Stars aligns with typical market pricing for the underdog in evenly-matched regional league matchups, where team form fluctuates considerably across patch cycles and roster adjustments.

Traders should monitor CBLOL's official schedule confirmation through the league's broadcast channels, as fixture delays beyond seven days trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Recent roster announcements or injury disclosures affecting either team's starting lineup could shift the contract materially, particularly regarding mid-lane or jungle positioning. The settlement window closes 16 August at 00:00 UTC, allowing approximately 22 hours post-match for official result confirmation and contract resolution on-chain.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.