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Pronóstico: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5 100% Volume: $515K Liquidity: $389K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-7.5) vs Gentle Mates (+7.5)90%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)90%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.590%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs BBL Esports (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-4.5) vs BBL Esports (+4.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-5.5) vs BBL Esports (+5.5)50%
Match Winner27%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-3.5) vs Gentle Mates (+3.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-2.5) vs BBL Esports (+2.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-4.5) vs Gentle Mates (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-5.5) vs Gentle Mates (+5.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-6.5) vs Gentle Mates (+6.5)10%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-8.5) vs Gentle Mates (+8.5)10%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: BBL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BBL Esports (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)0%
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: valorant: bbl esports vs gentle mates (bo3) - vct emea group alpha. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Gentle Mates in the VCT EMEA Group Alpha, initially scheduled for July 31 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (B… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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