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Pronóstico: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 98% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5) 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5) 90% Volume: $186K Liquidity: $379K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
98% 2% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
98% 2% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.598%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-4.5) vs Cloud9 (+4.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-5.5) vs Cloud9 (+5.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs Cloud9 (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Winner65%
O/U 2.5 Games65%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)56%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.549%
Match Winner46%
Map Handicap: W7M (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)35%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-4.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+4.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Cloud9 (-2.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+2.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 98% probability to pronóstico: valorant: cloud9 vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Cloud9 and Fluxo W7M in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 14 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Valorant: Cloud9 vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - VC… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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