Pronóstico: Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score

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Market context

On 26 June 2026 at 11:00 PM ET, Egypt and IR Iran will meet in a FIFA World Cup Group G match, with the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time determining the outcome of the "Exact Score" market. Today, Polymarket prices the specific "Egypt 1-0 Iran" contract at 16% YES, reflecting a cautious but tangible belief in a narrow Egyptian victory, while the broader market shows a 23% probability for a 1-1 draw and 11% for Egypt to win 1-0 on Kalshi[8].

Historically, World Cup Group matches between defensively disciplined sides like Egypt and Iran often resolve to low-scoring outcomes, with 1-0 and 1-1 being the most frequent correct scores in similar fixtures over the past decade. SportsGambler’s analysts currently favour Egypt to achieve a 1-0 win, citing odds of +510 as a value opportunity for a smaller stake with a strong return[1], while RacingPost highlights a half-time draw as the best bet at 10-11 with bet365, underscoring the likelihood of a tight first half[2].

Traders should monitor the final lineups announced before kick-off, as any unexpected absences in Egypt’s attacking unit or Iran’s midfield could shift the probability toward a draw or a 0-0 stalemate. RacingPost notes that both teams are well-matched, with Egypt priced at 29-20 and Iran at 23-10, suggesting the market expects a closely contested game where a single goal could decide the result[2]. The settlement window closes at 03:00:00Z on 27 June, and all trades are settled in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens, ensuring on-chain transparency and immediate resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Egypt vs. IR Iran - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.