Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Panama (-1.5) | 1% Panama | 99% England |
| England (-1.5) | 66% England | 35% Panama |
| Panama (-2.5) | 0% Panama | 100% England |
| England (-2.5) | 43% England | 57% Panama |
| O/U 0.5 | 97% Over | 3% Under |
| O/U 1.5 | 87% Over | 14% Under |
Market context
Panama and England face off in a FIFA World Cup Group L match at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, with kickoff set for 5:00 p.m. ET on 27 June 2026[1][4]. On Polymarket, this contract trades at a 1% implied probability for “More Markets” (YES), priced in USDC on the Polygon network using conditional tokens[2]. The market reflects the on-chain mechanics where liquidity providers and traders lock capital against the outcome, with settlement occurring automatically once the match concludes and official data feeds confirm the result.
Historically, matches between top-tier European sides and mid-table CONCACAF teams rarely exceed three total goals unless one side collapses defensively. In England’s 6–1 victory over Panama in a prior World Cup encounter, the game produced seven goals, yet that was an outlier driven by Panama’s early defensive errors[8]. Comparable Group L fixtures in 2026 show most ending with two or three goals, making the 1% probability for “More Markets” consistent with the broader trend of tight, low-scoring group-stage games[2].
Traders should monitor England’s pre-match training reports and Panama’s defensive line-up announcements, as any late injury to key defenders could shift the goal expectation. England’s training session ahead of the match, captured in recent footage, suggests full-strength availability, which may limit Panama’s scoring chances[6]. Additionally, check for official FIFA updates on weather conditions at MetLife Stadium, as heavy rain could alter playing dynamics and increase the likelihood of defensive mistakes[5]. No recent news source has indicated a major disruption, but real-time feeds from FOX Sports will provide the final confirmation of team line-ups before kickoff[1].
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Panama vs. England - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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