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Pronóstico: 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Aryna Sabalenka 23% Iga Swiatek 19% Elena Rybakina 11% Mirra Andreeva 7% Volume: $2.9M Liquidity: $516K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
23% 77% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
23% 77% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Aryna Sabalenka23%
Iga Swiatek19%
Elena Rybakina11%
Mirra Andreeva7%
Coco Gauff5%
Naomi Osaka4%
Alexandra Eala4%
Amanda Anisimova3%
Jessica Pegula3%
Victoria Mboko3%
Elina Svitolina3%
Karolina Muchova2%
Qinwen Zheng1%
Madison Keys1%
Barbora Krejcikova1%
Emma Navarro1%
Clara Tauson1%
Belinda Bencic1%
Emma Raducanu1%
Linda Noskova1%
Jasmine Paolini1%
Diana Shnaider1%
Anastasia Potapova1%
Marketa Vondrousova0%
Paula Badosa0%
Maya Joint0%
Ekaterina Alexandrova0%
Jelena Ostapenko0%
Daria Kasatkina0%
Tereza Valentova0%
Donna Vekic0%
Dayana Yastremska0%
Liudmila Samsonova0%
Xiyu Wang0%
Ashlyn Krueger0%
Marie Bouzkova0%
Beatriz Haddad Maia0%
Elise Mertens0%
Sofia Kenin0%
Katie Boulter0%
Other0%
Player A0%
Player B0%
Player C0%
Player D0%
Player E0%
Player F0%
Player G0%
Player H0%
Player I0%
Player J0%
Player K0%
Player L0%
Player M0%
Player N0%
Player O0%
Player P0%
Player Q0%
Player R0%
Player S0%
Player T0%
Player U0%
Player V0%
Player W0%
Player X0%
Player Y0%
Player Z0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 23% probability to pronóstico: 2026 women’s us open winner (tennis). The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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Related Topics

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