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Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Michael Brennan 89% Beau Hossler 8% Sung-Jae Im 2% Benjamin James 2% Volume: $270K Liquidity: $617K Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Brennan89%
Beau Hossler8%
Sung-Jae Im2%
Benjamin James2%
Maverick McNealy2%
Zach Bauchou1%
Patrick Cantlay1%
Bud Cauley1%
Davis Chatfield1%
Trace Crowe1%
Joel Dahmen1%
Nicolas Echavarria1%
Alex Fitzpatrick1%
Harry Hall1%
Rico Hoey1%
Tom Hoge1%
Rasmus Hojgaard1%
Billy Horschel1%
Tom Kim1%
Chris Kirk1%
Patton Kizzire1%
Brooks Koepka1%
Ben Kohles1%
Jackson Koivun1%
Hideki Matsuyama1%
Matt McCarty1%
Alexander Noren1%
Andrew Novak1%
Thorbjorn Olesen1%
John Parry1%
Marco Penge1%
Chandler Phillips1%
Aaron Rai1%
Kihei Akina0%
Daniel Berger0%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout0%
Chandler Blanchet0%
Keegan Bradley0%
Blades Brown0%
Daniel Brown0%
Brian Campbell0%
Rafael Campos0%
Ricky Castillo0%
Luke Clanton0%
Eric Cole0%
Tyler Collet0%
Pierceson Coody0%
Cam Davis0%
Jason Day0%
Ze-Cheng Dou0%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart0%
Nick Dunlap0%
Austin Eckroat0%
Harris English0%
A.J. Ewart0%
Tony Finau0%
Patrick Fishburn0%
Steven Fisk0%
Brice Garnett0%
Ryan Gerard0%
Doug Ghim0%
Lucas Glover0%
Max Greyserman0%
Ben Griffin0%
Emiliano Grillo0%
Brian Harman0%
Garrick Higgo0%
Joe Highsmith0%
Kensei Hirata0%
Ryo Hisatsune0%
Lee Hodges0%
Cooper Hrabak0%
Mark Hubbard0%
Mackenzie Hughes0%
Stephan Jaeger0%
Takumi Kanaya0%
Jeffrey Kang0%
Johnny Keefer0%
Michael Kim0%
Christo Lamprecht0%
Henry Lebioda0%
Hao-Tong Li0%
David Lipsky0%
Peter Malnati0%
Stefano Mazzoli0%
Denny McCarthy0%
Max McGreevy0%
Mac Meissner0%
Keith Mitchell0%
Taylor Moore0%
William Mouw0%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen0%
Pontus Nyholm0%
Cheng Tsung Pan0%
Matthieu Pavon0%
Taylor Pendrith0%
JT Poston0%
Aldrich Potgieter0%
Seamus Power0%
Andrew Putnam0%
Player 00%
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Player 80%
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Player 190%
Other0%

Market context

Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner — current market-implied probability: 89%. This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Wyndham Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Wyndham Championship tournament bas…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: PGA Tour: Wyndham Championship Winner across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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