Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: newport: liam broady vs andre ilagan. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Broady and Andre Ilagan in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam …
Methodology
We track Pronóstico: Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Pronóstico: Newport: Liam Broady vs Andre Ilagan on Polymarket Qué Es
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