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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 21.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Volume: $203K Liquidity: $429K Closes: 3 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 21.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 22.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 23.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate64%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Game Spread +/-0.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner0%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: us open, qualification atp: liam draxl vs tristan schoolkate. This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Tristan Schoolkate in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 27, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Liam Draxl vs Tristan Schoolkate across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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