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Pronóstico: Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 Winner 100% Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $220K Liquidity: $292K Closes: 31 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 Winner100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf79%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Total Sets: O/U 2.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Match O/U 21.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Match O/U 22.551%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Match O/U 23.551%
Completed Match50%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set Handicap +/-1.525%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 Winner0%
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: bloomfield hills: jacob fearnley vs j.j. wolf. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jacob Fearnley and J.J. Wolf in the Bloomfield Hills, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolf across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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