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Pronóstico: Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva 100% Completed Match 100% Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $422K Closes: 25 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva100%
Completed Match100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 Winner100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Match O/U 21.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Match O/U 22.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Match O/U 23.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 Winner0%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Cordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Gonzalo Villanueva Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: cordenons: max alcala gurri vs gonzalo villanueva. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Gonzalo Villanueva in the Cordenons, originally scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will reso…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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