Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 Winner | 51% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 41% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 38% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market refers to the tennis match between Alex de Minaur and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alex …
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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