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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.5 63% US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-4.5 56% Completed Match 50% US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.5 50% Volume: $124K Liquidity: $323K Closes: 2 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
63% 37% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
63% 37% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.563%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Game Spread +/-4.556%
Completed Match50%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 22.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 23.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Match O/U 21.545%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Total Sets: O/U 2.530%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 2 Winner25%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set 1 Winner23%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov17%
US Open, Qualification ATP: Timofey Skatov vs Grigor Dimitrov Set Handicap +/-1.59%

Market context

Market consensus: 63% chance of pronóstico: us open, qualification atp: timofey skatov vs grigor dimitrov. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Grigor Dimitrov in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This m…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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