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Pronóstico: AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

AC Goianiense 59% Draw 32% Fortaleza EC 14% Volume: $165K Liquidity: $84K Closes: 12 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
59% 41% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
59% 41% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
AC Goianiense59%
Draw32%
Fortaleza EC14%

Market context

Market consensus: 59% chance of pronóstico: ac goianiense vs. fortaleza ec. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between AC Goianiense and Fortaleza EC.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices AC Goianiense at 59% for "Pronóstico: AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC".

AC Goianiense 59% Other 41%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $165K.

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: AC Goianiense vs. Fortaleza EC across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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