Pronóstico: SC Recife vs. Botafogo FC

Platform comparison

Market context

Sport Recife faced Botafogo-SP in Brazil’s Serie B on Friday, 10 July 2026, at Estádio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho, with the match concluding 1–0 in favour of Recife [9]. On Polymarket today, the YES contract for this game sits at 0% implied probability, reflecting that the event has already settled and the outcome is known. The market trades on Polygon using USDC, where conditional tokens lock the payout once the resolver confirms the result, making further price movement impossible.

Historically, Serie B contracts that close post-event with a known result collapse to 0% or 100% within minutes of settlement, as conditional tokens become redeemable at face value. Similar cases from the 2025 Brasileirão show that once a match ends, liquidity evaporates and prices freeze, with traders unable to adjust positions [1]. The 0% price here is not a forecast but a mechanical reflection of the settled 1–0 scoreline.

Traders should monitor the resolver’s official confirmation on Polymarket, which typically occurs within 24 hours of the match end time. Any delay in resolution can temporarily stall redemption, but the outcome remains fixed. No new announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies apply, as the game is complete and the result is final [2][3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.