Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

Pronóstico: Minnesota vs. Washington | Polymarketquees 2026

Name: Pronóstico: Minnesota vs. Washington
Start: 2026-09-21T20:20:15.000Z
End: 2026-09-27T03:00:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	100%	0%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	100%	0%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
1Q O/U 3.5	100%
1Q O/U 6.5	100%
Minnesota 1H O/U 5.5	100%
O/U 25.5	98%
O/U 31.5	96%
1H O/U 20.5	91%
1Q Spread -1.5	91%
1Q O/U 9.5	91%
1Q O/U 12.5	91%
Minnesota O/U 11.5	91%
Minnesota 1H O/U 7.5	91%
Minnesota 1H O/U 9.5	91%
1Q Moneyline	91%
O/U 37.5	88%
Minnesota O/U 17.5	81%
O/U 27.5	79%
O/U 29.5	79%
O/U 33.5	79%
O/U 35.5	78%
O/U 43.5	78%
O/U 39.5	75%
O/U 41.5	73%
O/U 45.5	71%
1H O/U 23.5	70%
Minnesota O/U 20.5	69%
O/U 47.5	68%
Minnesota O/U 23.5	68%
2Q O/U 7.5	67%
2Q O/U 13.5	65%
4Q O/U 7.5	65%
O/U 49.5	62%
2Q Spread -7.5	57%
O/U 51.5	54%
2Q Spread -2.5	54%
3Q Spread -2.5	54%
Spread -1.5	52%
Spread -2.5	52%
Washington O/U 27.5	52%
Spread -0.5	51%
4Q Spread -2.5	51%
Spread -12.5	50%
Spread -15.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -26.5	50%
Spread -30.5	50%
1H Spread -5.5	50%
1H O/U 17.5	50%
1H O/U 29.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -4.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -6.5	50%
2H Spread -7.5	50%
2H Spread -9.5	50%
2H O/U 16.5	50%
2H O/U 19.5	50%
2H O/U 22.5	50%
2H O/U 25.5	50%
2H O/U 28.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -4.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q O/U 10.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q O/U 3.5	50%
3Q O/U 6.5	50%
3Q O/U 9.5	50%
3Q O/U 15.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q O/U 4.5	50%
4Q O/U 10.5	50%
Minnesota O/U 14.5	50%
Washington O/U 21.5	50%
Washington O/U 24.5	50%
Washington O/U 33.5	50%
Washington 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Washington 1H O/U 16.5	50%
Washington 1H O/U 18.5	50%
Minnesota 2H O/U 6.5	50%
Minnesota 2H O/U 8.5	50%
Minnesota 2H O/U 10.5	50%
Washington 2H O/U 11.5	50%
Washington 2H O/U 13.5	50%
Washington 2H O/U 15.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Minnesota O/U 2.5	50%
Washington O/U 3.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Minnesota Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Washington Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Minnesota Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Minnesota Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Washington Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Washington Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Minnesota 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Washington 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Minnesota Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Washington Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Minnesota Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
Washington Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Minnesota Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Washington Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Minnesota vs. Washington: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
Minnesota O/U 1.5	50%
O/U 53.5	49%
4Q Spread -3.5	47%
Minnesota vs. Washington	46%
2Q O/U 16.5	45%
4Q O/U 13.5	45%
1H O/U 26.5	43%
2Q Spread -3.5	42%
O/U 55.5	41%
Spread -3.5	40%
3Q O/U 12.5	39%
Spread -3.5	38%
O/U 57.5	37%
4Q O/U 16.5	37%
Spread -4.5	36%
Spread -4.5	35%
Spread -5.5	35%
Spread -8.5	35%
2Q O/U 19.5	33%
Spread -6.5	32%
O/U 59.5	32%
Washington O/U 30.5	32%
Spread -6.5	31%
O/U 63.5	31%
O/U 65.5	28%
Spread -7.5	26%
Spread -7.5	25%
O/U 61.5	25%
Spread -9.5	22%
1H Spread -7.5	21%
Spread -10.5	20%
Spread -10.5	20%
Spread -11.5	20%
Spread -13.5	15%
1H Spread -2.5	11%
Spread -16.5	10%
1Q Spread -0.5	10%
1Q Spread -1.5	10%
1Q Spread -2.5	10%
1Q Spread -3.5	10%
1Q Spread -5.5	10%
1Q O/U 15.5	10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	10%
Spread -14.5	9%
Spread -24.5	9%
Spread -17.5	8%
1H Spread -4.5	8%
Spread -20.5	7%
Spread -23.5	6%
1H Spread -6.5	6%
1H Spread -9.5	4%
Spread -27.5	3%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: minnesota vs. washington stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Minnesota and Washington, scheduled for September 26 at 11:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota" if Minnesota win the game.…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices 1Q O/U 3.5 at 100% for "Pronóstico: Minnesota vs. Washington".

1Q O/U 3.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $571K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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Pronóstico: Minnesota vs. Washington

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Pronóstico: Minnesota vs. Washington on Polymarket Qué Es

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