Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Chelsea FC (-1.5) | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (-1.5) | 0% |
| Chelsea FC (-2.5) | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Chelsea FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Tottenham Hotspur 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Chelsea and Tottenham Hotspur meet in a club friendly, and Polymarket is currently pricing the **“more markets”** contract at **0% YES**, which means no cash is being assigned to any additional prop outcome on this market yet. On Polymarket, the contract sits inside the usual on-chain setup: traders hold USDC on Polygon, and the market resolves through conditional tokens once the listed settlement conditions are met.
That 0% read is easiest to frame against the recent head-to-head record. Chelsea have had the edge in the fixture overall, with 83 wins to Spurs’ 55 across 181 meetings, and the last five competitive meetings have all gone Chelsea’s way, including a 1-0 win in April 2025 and a 2-1 win in May 2026.[9][12][17] In the narrower sample often used by traders, Chelsea have also won six of the last seven league and cup meetings listed by major stats pages, while recent match data shows both sides can be low-scoring or tight enough for niche prop markets to stay thin until line-ups are known.[6][15][18]
For a trader, the main catalysts are the official team sheets, late injury or rotation news, and whether the friendly is treated as a serious dress rehearsal or a minutes-managed pre-season run-out. Club and league statistical feeds are already tracking the fixture live, which usually means pricing can change quickly once confirmed starting XIs, substitutions, or any last-minute schedule changes are published.[3][5][13] In a market already at 0%, the first meaningful move is often not about the match result itself but about whether enough concrete information arrives to support any “more markets” outcome before the 2026-08-01 09:45 UTC settlement window closes.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur - More … on Polymarket Qué Es
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