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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Volume: $135K Liquidity: $493K Closes: 18 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-3.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)90%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.510%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-12.5) vs MAGICOS (+12.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-3.5) vs MAGICOS (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-9.5) vs MAGICOS (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map Handicap: MAG (-1.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA Academy (-6.5) vs MAGICOS (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-6.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MAGICOS (-9.5) vs BESTIA Academy (+9.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: counter-strike: bestia academy vs magicos (bo3) - cct south america series 4 group stage stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between BESTIA Academy and MAGICOS in the CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 17 at 6:00PM E…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICO… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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