Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Match Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-9.5) vs Entropy (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.5 | 0% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Entropy (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-6.5) vs Entropy (+6.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Entropy (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-9.5) vs Entropy (+9.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Entropy and SAW in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market w…
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Entropy vs SAW (BO3) - C… on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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