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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Match Winner 54% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 26% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 22% Volume: $352K Liquidity: $94K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.526%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)22%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 54% probability to pronóstico: counter-strike: monte vs team nemesis (bo1) - xse pro league group stage. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Monte and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mont…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (B… on Polymarket Qué Es

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