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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-9.5) vs PARIVISION (+9.5) 1% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5) 1% Volume: $570K Liquidity: $527K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-6.5) vs PARIVISION (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TYLOO (-9.5) vs PARIVISION (+9.5)1%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)1%
Match Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: counter-strike: parivision vs tyloo (bo1) - xse pro league group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between PARIVISION and TYLOO in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 7:00AM ET. This market wil…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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