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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Game 2 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Both Teams Beat Roshan 100% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 100% Volume: $980K Liquidity: $783K Closes: 29 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 2 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 2?91%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?91%
Match Winner77%
First Blood in Game 2?51%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan34%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks31%
Any Player Ultra Kill29%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 2?10%
Ends in Daytime9%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks9%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)0%
Ends in Daytime0%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks0%
Any Player Ultra Kill0%
Any Player Rampage0%
First Blood in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 80.5 in Game 1?0%
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 75.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 85.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

The Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Team Spirit and Team Nemesis in the BLAST Slam Group B, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spir…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Pronóstico: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Nemesis (BO3… on Polymarket Qué Es

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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