Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team to Take First Corner | 100% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 75% |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 68% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 56% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 4.5 | 55% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 2.5 | 55% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 3.5 | 55% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 51% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 50% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 3.5 | 47% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 39% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 33% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 4.5 | 33% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 5.5 | 28% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 6.5 | 25% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 20% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 13% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 5% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 3% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Switzerland and Algeria at BC Place in Vancouver is set to begin at 11:00 PM ET on 2 July, with the market currently pricing a high probability of elevated corner activity. On Polymarket, this contract sits at 67% YES for the "Total Corners" outcome, reflecting strong on-chain conviction in a USDC-denominated, Polygon-based conditional token structure where traders are betting on the aggregate corner count rather than the match winner.
Historical precedents suggest this probability is well-founded, as Switzerland has dominated Algeria in both prior meetings and topped their group with seven goals in three games, while Algeria remain chasing their first-ever knockout win at the World Cup[3][8]. Matches involving Switzerland in recent World Cup cycles have consistently generated high corner counts due to their aggressive attacking style and 18 shots on target from 45 attempts, creating repeated pressure that forces defensive clearances and corner kicks[7].
Traders should monitor the final lineups and any late tactical announcements, particularly whether Algeria deploy a high defensive line that could invite sustained Swiss pressure and corner accumulation[2]. The settlement window closes at 03:00:00Z on 3 July 2026, meaning all pre-match dependencies must resolve before the market locks, with the key catalyst being the confirmation of Switzerland’s starting XI and their expected midfield dominance, given their squad ranks higher in attack and midfield value than Algeria’s[5]. Recent analysis from Action Network highlights that both teams are likely to score, which often correlates with extended periods of play and increased corner opportunities[2].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Switzerland vs. Algeria - Total Corners on Polymarket Qué Es
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