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Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway 14% Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway 10% Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway 10% Any Other Score 9% Volume: $225K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway14%
Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway10%
Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway10%
Any Other Score9%
Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway8%
Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway7%
Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway7%
Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway7%
Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway7%
Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway5%
Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway4%
Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway4%
Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway3%
Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway2%
Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway2%
Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway1%
Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway1%

Market context

Market consensus: 14% chance of pronóstico: côte d'ivoire vs. norway - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Côte d'Ivo…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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