Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
88% | 12% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
88% | 12% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots | 88% |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots | 88% |
| Noni Madueke: 1+ shots | 78% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots | 69% |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target | 68% |
| Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots | 66% |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target | 61% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | 55% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target | 54% |
| Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots | 52% |
| Noni Madueke: 2+ shots | 50% |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists | 50% |
| Dean Henderson: 3+ saves | 49% |
| Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists | 49% |
| Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots | 47% |
| Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target | 47% |
| Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target | 47% |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots on target | 47% |
| Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots on target | 47% |
| Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots on target | 47% |
| Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots on target | 47% |
| Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target | 47% |
| Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target | 47% |
| Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target | 47% |
| Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots on target | 47% |
| Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots on target | 47% |
| Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots on target | 47% |
| Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target | 47% |
| Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target | 47% |
| Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target | 47% |
| Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists | 47% |
| Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves | 46% |
| Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots | 46% |
| Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots on target | 46% |
| Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on target | 46% |
| Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target | 46% |
| Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target | 46% |
| Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots on target | 46% |
| Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target | 46% |
| Noni Madueke: 4+ shots on target | 46% |
| Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target | 46% |
| Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target | 46% |
| Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target | 46% |
| Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists | 46% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists | 46% |
| Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists | 46% |
| Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists | 46% |
| Dean Henderson: 5+ saves | 44% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target | 44% |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots | 42% |
| Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots | 41% |
| Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists | 40% |
| Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots | 39% |
| Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists | 39% |
| Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots | 37% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists | 35% |
| Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists | 35% |
| Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists | 35% |
| Noni Madueke: 3+ shots | 33% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target | 32% |
| Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists | 29% |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | 28% |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals | 28% |
| Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots | 26% |
| Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots | 25% |
| Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots | 24% |
| Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists | 24% |
| Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target | 22% |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists | 22% |
| Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots | 21% |
| Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target | 21% |
| Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists | 21% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ goals | 20% |
| Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists | 20% |
| Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots | 19% |
| Noni Madueke: 4+ shots | 19% |
| Noni Madueke: 1+ goals | 18% |
| Noni Madueke: 1+ assists | 17% |
| Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots | 16% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ assists | 16% |
| Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots | 14% |
| Noni Madueke: 5+ shots | 14% |
| Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists | 14% |
| Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots | 13% |
| Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists | 13% |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists | 12% |
| Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals | 11% |
| Timothy Fayulu: 4+ saves | 11% |
| Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target | 11% |
| Dean Henderson: 2+ saves | 10% |
| Dean Henderson: 4+ saves | 10% |
| Timothy Fayulu: 2+ saves | 10% |
| Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves | 10% |
| Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists | 10% |
| Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals | 9% |
| Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target | 9% |
| Ivan Toney: 1+ goals | 8% |
| Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots | 8% |
| Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists | 8% |
| Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists | 8% |
| Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists | 8% |
| Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals | 7% |
| Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots on target | 7% |
| Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target | 7% |
| Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots on target | 7% |
| Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots on target | 7% |
| Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals | 6% |
| Bukayo Saka: 5+ shots | 6% |
| Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists | 6% |
| Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists | 6% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals | 5% |
| Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists | 5% |
| Harry Kane: 3+ goals | 4% |
| Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots | 4% |
| Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots | 4% |
| Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots | 4% |
| Harry Kane: 2+ assists | 4% |
| Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists | 4% |
| Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists | 4% |
| Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals | 3% |
| Noni Madueke: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists | 3% |
| Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Ivan Toney: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Noni Madueke: 2+ goals | 2% |
| Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals | 2% |
| Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots | 2% |
| Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots | 2% |
| Eberechi Eze: 5+ shots | 2% |
| Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots | 2% |
| Morgan Rogers: 5+ shots | 2% |
| Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target | 2% |
| Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots on target | 2% |
| Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Ivan Toney: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Noni Madueke: 3+ goals | 1% |
| Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals | 1% |
| Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists | 1% |
| Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals | 0% |
| Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals | 0% |
Market context
Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: england vs. dr congo - player props stands at 88% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Pronóstico: England vs. DR Congo - Player Props on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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