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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.5 55% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 52% Volume: $394K Liquidity: $271K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.555%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.552%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.549%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner38%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner38%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien32%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.528%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner0%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: us open atp: nuno borges vs learner tien. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nu…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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