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Pronóstico: Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.5 89% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.5 72% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.5 69% Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys 68% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $420K Closes: 1 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 8.589%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 8.572%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 9.569%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys68%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 21.568%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 O/U 10.566%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 2 Winner64%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 Winner63%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 9.561%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 22.559%
Completed Match50%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Match O/U 23.550%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set 1 O/U 10.544%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys Set Handicap +/-1.542%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: generali open: alexander bublik vs quentin halys stands at 89% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Quentin Halys in the Generali Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resol…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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