Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 22.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Match O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Assche Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to pronóstico: croatia open: dusan lajovic vs luca van assche. This market refers to the tennis match between Dusan Lajovic and Luca Van Assche in the Croatia Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Lajovic' …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van … on Polymarket Qué Es
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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