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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel 72% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner 66% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner 63% Volume: $105K Liquidity: $381K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.576%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel72%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner66%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner63%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 Winner63%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.562%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.557%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.555%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 36.553%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Game Spread +/-4.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 38.549%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-2.530%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.530%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 4.526%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to pronóstico: us open atp: jiri lehecka vs toby samuel. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Toby Samuel in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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