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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.5 68% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.5 65% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas 62% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.5 60% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $312K Closes: 11 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
68% 32% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
68% 32% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 8.568%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 3.565%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas62%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 9.560%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 Winner57%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 Winner57%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 Winner56%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 36.556%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 38.554%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Match O/U 40.548%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Game Spread +/-3.547%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-1.546%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set 1 O/U 10.536%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Total Sets: O/U 4.529%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Set Handicap +/-2.525%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 68% probability to pronóstico: us open atp: jiri lehecka vs stefanos tsitsipas. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehe…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos Tsitsipas across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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