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Pronóstico: Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 21.5 100% Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 Winner 100% Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $110K Closes: 28 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 21.5100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 Winner100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 22.5100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Match O/U 23.5100%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet0%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 Winner0%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: roehampton: anton matusevich vs oliver tarvet. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Anton Matusevich and Oliver Tarvet in the Roehampton, originally scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvet across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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