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Pronóstico: Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu 100% Completed Match 100% Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 Winner 100% Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 Winner 100% Volume: $211K Closes: 16 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu100%
Completed Match100%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 Winner100%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 Winner100%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 8.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 21.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 22.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Match O/U 23.50%
Newport: Daniel Milavsky vs Yunchaokete Bu Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: newport: daniel milavsky vs yunchaokete bu. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Milavsky and Yunchaokete Bu in the Newport, originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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