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Pronóstico: Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

Completed Match 100% Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $198K Closes: 14 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves0%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 21.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 Winner0%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 Winner0%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Total Sets: O/U 2.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 22.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 9.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Match O/U 23.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 2 O/U 10.50%
Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: bogota: rodrigo pacheco vs felipe meligeni alves. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Rodrigo Pacheco and Felipe Meligeni Alves in the Bogota, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolv…

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: Bogota: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Felipe Meligeni Alves across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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