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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner 100% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5 100% Volume: $153K Liquidity: $503K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.599%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.575%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.575%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.575%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga62%
Completed Match50%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.525%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.525%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner0%
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Pronóstico: National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchaga. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexei Popyrin and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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