Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 3 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Zverev Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: wimbledon atp: valentin royer vs alexander zverev. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Royer and Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resol…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Pronóstico: Wimbledon ATP: Valentin Royer vs Alexand… on Polymarket Qué Es
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