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Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker

Five-platform snapshot of "Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 1 O/U 8.5 75% Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set Handicap +/-1.5 52% Completed Match 51% Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Match O/U 23.5 51% Volume: $122K Liquidity: $74K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
75% 25% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
75% 25% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 1 O/U 8.575%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set Handicap +/-1.552%
Completed Match51%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Match O/U 23.551%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 2 Winner50%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Match O/U 22.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Total Sets: O/U 2.542%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Match O/U 21.533%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker31%
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker Set 1 Winner16%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 75% probability to pronóstico: swiss open: alexander shevchenko vs dominic stephan stricker. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Dominic Stephan Stricker in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'A…

Methodology

This page reviews Pronóstico: Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Stricker across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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