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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Polymarket Qué Es.

US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi 91% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner 78% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.5 78% US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner 76% Volume: $61K Liquidity: $175K Closes: 14 Sept 2026
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Pronóstico: US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi91%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 Winner78%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-1.578%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 Winner76%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 Winner75%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 8.575%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Game Spread +/-6.555%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 9.554%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set Handicap +/-2.553%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 38.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 3.547%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Set 1 O/U 10.527%
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Luciano Darderi Total Sets: O/U 4.517%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, pronóstico: us open atp: alexander zverev vs luciano darderi stands at 91% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Luciano Darderi in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will …

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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