Pronóstico: CR Brasil vs. Goiás EC - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

CR Brasil and Goiás EC played their Brazil Serie B fixture on 12 July 2026 at Estádio Rei Pelé in Maceió, with the match concluding 2–0 to CR Brasil. On Polymarket today, the “More Markets” contract for this game trades at 0% YES, reflecting that the event has already settled and no further on-chain outcomes remain unresolved. The contract is priced in USDC on Polygon, where conditional tokens lock settlement once the official result is confirmed by the oracle.

Historically, similar Serie B “more markets” contracts—covering corners, cards, or half-time/full-time combos—close at 0% or 100% once the match ends, as there is no uncertainty left to price. In the last five head-to-head meetings between these sides, CR Brasil won two, Goiás won two, and one ended in a draw, but the 2–0 result on 12 July removes any ambiguity about future resolution[4][10]. Past Serie B markets with identical post-match timing have shown immediate convergence to 0% or 100% within minutes of the final whistle, with no secondary volatility.

Traders should watch for the official oracle settlement timestamp on Polygon, which typically occurs within 15–30 minutes after the match ends. No new announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies apply, as the game is complete. The 2–0 scoreline was confirmed by multiple live-score trackers, including FotMob and Sofascore, which list the final result without pending corrections[1][2]. With settlement window expiry set for 2026-07-12T22:00:00Z—already passed—the contract’s 0% price is mechanically final.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Pronóstico: CR Brasil vs. Goiás EC - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.