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Pronóstico: Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Pronóstico: Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 40.5 89% Spread -0.5 82% O/U 46.5 76% O/U 48.5 74% Volume: $562K Liquidity: $557K Closes: 30 Aug 2026
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Pronóstico: Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
89% 11% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
89% 11% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 40.589%
Spread -0.582%
O/U 46.576%
O/U 48.574%
Spread -1.560%
Spread -2.560%
1H Spread -2.560%
1H Spread -3.560%
1H Spread -4.560%
O/U 50.558%
O/U 36.555%
O/U 52.551%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 14.551%
1H Moneyline50%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -27.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
O/U 38.550%
O/U 42.550%
O/U 44.550%
O/U 66.550%
O/U 68.550%
O/U 72.550%
1H Spread -1.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Memphis O/U 20.550%
Memphis O/U 23.550%
Memphis O/U 26.550%
Memphis O/U 29.550%
Memphis O/U 32.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 24.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 27.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 30.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 33.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 36.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Memphis 1H O/U 11.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 13.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 15.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 12.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 14.550%
UNLV Runnin' 1H O/U 16.550%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 12.550%
UNLV Runnin' 2H O/U 16.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 11.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 13.550%
Memphis 2H O/U 15.550%
Memphis O/U 19.550%
Memphis O/U 22.550%
Memphis O/U 25.550%
Memphis O/U 28.550%
Memphis O/U 31.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 10.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 12.550%
Memphis 1H O/U 14.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 23.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 26.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 29.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 32.550%
UNLV Runnin' O/U 35.550%
Spread -3.548%
Spread -4.546%
Spread -21.546%
O/U 54.546%
O/U 55.546%
Spread -24.545%
O/U 56.541%
Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'38%
Spread -20.538%
O/U 58.535%
Spread -6.534%
Spread -7.528%
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-5.5)26%
1Q Spread -1.525%
1Q Spread -2.525%
O/U 60.524%
O/U 62.523%
Spread -10.522%
Spread -16.520%
Spread -13.518%
Spread -17.518%
Spread -14.517%
O/U 64.514%
O/U 70.514%
O/U 74.514%
O/U 76.54%

Market context

Market consensus: 89% chance of pronóstico: memphis vs. unlv runnin'. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for August 29 at 10:00PM ET: If Memphis wins, the market will resolve to "Memphis". If UNLV Runnin' wins, the market will resolve t…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 40.5 at 89% for "Pronóstico: Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'".

O/U 40.5 89% Other 11%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $562K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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