Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread: Fresno State (-18.5) | 100% |
| O/U 45.5 | 100% |
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| Spread -14.5 | 100% |
| Spread -16.5 | 100% |
| Spread -17.5 | 100% |
| Spread -20.5 | 100% |
| Spread -21.5 | 100% |
| Spread -24.5 | 100% |
| Spread -27.5 | 100% |
| Spread -31.5 | 100% |
| Spread -34.5 | 100% |
| O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| O/U 47.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 100% |
| O/U 51.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 32.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 38.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| O/U 44.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 25.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 28.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 31.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 34.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| Spread -12.5 | 100% |
| Spread -15.5 | 100% |
| Spread -19.5 | 100% |
| Spread -22.5 | 100% |
| Spread -23.5 | 100% |
| Spread -25.5 | 100% |
| Spread -26.5 | 100% |
| Spread -28.5 | 100% |
| Spread -32.5 | 100% |
| Spread -35.5 | 100% |
| Spread -38.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 100% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 100% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 2H O/U 17.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 100% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| Fresno State O/U 36.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Rayshon Luke: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Bryson Donelson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Josiah Freeman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jamar Curtis: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Mandal: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Tariq Thomas: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Cincere Rhaney: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jahlil McClain: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jake Appleget: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Matthew Coleman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Harold Duvall: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jace Wilson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Ezekiel Avit: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Onterrio Smith Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Elias Brown: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jackson Sharman: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jordan Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kenyon Shabazz: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sacramento State vs. Fresno State | 0% |
| O/U 53.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 61.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 65.5 | 0% |
| 2H Moneyline | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Sacramento State 2H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 0% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of pronóstico: sacramento state vs. fresno state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Sacramento State and Fresno State, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacrame…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $48K.
Methodology
This page reviews Pronóstico: Sacramento State vs. Fresno State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket Qué Es. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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