What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas | Polymarketquees 2026

Name: Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas
Start: 2026-08-31T22:01:02.000Z
End: 2026-09-12T19:45:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via Polymarket Qué Es) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	76%	24%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	See live odds →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	76%	24%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	See live odds →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	See live odds →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	See live odds →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 38.5	76%
O/U 40.5	76%
O/U 42.5	74%
O/U 44.5	73%
O/U 48.5	70%
O/U 46.5	65%
O/U 50.5	65%
O/U 52.5	62%
O/U 54.5	59%
O/U 60.5	52%
O/U 56.5	51%
UNLV O/U 0.5	50%
UNLV O/U 1.5	50%
UNLV O/U 2.5	50%
UNLV O/U 3.5	50%
North Texas O/U 0.5	50%
North Texas O/U 1.5	50%
North Texas O/U 2.5	50%
North Texas O/U 3.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -14.5	50%
Spread -27.5	50%
Spread -31.5	50%
Spread -34.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
1H Spread -0.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H Moneyline	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H Spread -4.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -2.5	50%
1Q Moneyline	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -2.5	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -2.5	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -2.5	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
UNLV O/U 24.5	50%
UNLV O/U 27.5	50%
UNLV O/U 30.5	50%
UNLV O/U 33.5	50%
UNLV O/U 36.5	50%
North Texas O/U 20.5	50%
North Texas O/U 23.5	50%
North Texas O/U 26.5	50%
North Texas O/U 29.5	50%
North Texas O/U 32.5	50%
North Texas 1H O/U 11.5	50%
North Texas 1H O/U 13.5	50%
North Texas 1H O/U 15.5	50%
North Texas O/U 3.5	50%
UNLV O/U 3.5	50%
2Q Spread -3.5	50%
UNLV 1H O/U 12.5	50%
UNLV 1H O/U 14.5	50%
UNLV 1H O/U 16.5	50%
North Texas 2H O/U 11.5	50%
North Texas 2H O/U 13.5	50%
North Texas 2H O/U 15.5	50%
UNLV 2H O/U 12.5	50%
UNLV 2H O/U 14.5	50%
UNLV 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Jai'Den Thomas: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Jackson Arnold: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Jahiem White: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Brendon Haygood: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Corri Milliner: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Tayven Jackson: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Jaylon Glover: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Justin Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Taeshaun Lyons: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Kayden McGee: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Baron Tipton: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Josiah Martin: Anytime Touchdown	50%
DeAngelo Irvin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Keyan Burnett: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Nick Osho: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Max Reese: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Taz Reddicks: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Darrien Jones: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Tavian McNair: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Shandon King: Anytime Touchdown	50%
Peyton Zachary: Anytime Touchdown	50%
North Texas O/U 21.5	50%
North Texas O/U 24.5	50%
North Texas O/U 27.5	50%
North Texas O/U 30.5	50%
North Texas O/U 33.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -0.5	50%
Spread -16.5	50%
1H Spread -5.5	50%
1H Spread -1.5	50%
1H O/U 22.5	50%
1H O/U 25.5	50%
1H O/U 28.5	50%
1H O/U 31.5	50%
1H O/U 34.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H O/U 22.5	50%
2H O/U 25.5	50%
2H O/U 28.5	50%
2H O/U 31.5	50%
2H O/U 34.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -3.5	50%
1Q O/U 6.5	50%
1Q O/U 9.5	50%
1Q O/U 12.5	50%
1Q O/U 15.5	50%
1Q O/U 18.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q O/U 10.5	50%
2Q O/U 13.5	50%
2Q O/U 16.5	50%
2Q O/U 19.5	50%
2Q O/U 22.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -3.5	50%
3Q O/U 7.5	50%
3Q O/U 10.5	50%
3Q O/U 13.5	50%
3Q O/U 16.5	50%
3Q O/U 19.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -3.5	50%
4Q O/U 8.5	50%
4Q O/U 11.5	50%
4Q O/U 14.5	50%
4Q O/U 17.5	50%
4Q O/U 20.5	50%
O/U 57.5	49%
Spread -2.5	49%
Spread -21.5	47%
Spread -20.5	46%
O/U 58.5	45%
Spread -1.5	45%
Spread -24.5	45%
O/U 61.5	44%
O/U 62.5	44%
Spread -1.5	43%
UNLV vs. North Texas	42%
Spread -16.5	38%
O/U 66.5	37%
1H Spread -2.5	37%
Spread -4.5	37%
Spread -9.5	37%
Spread -6.5	36%
Spread -3.5	35%
O/U 68.5	35%
1H Spread -4.5	35%
Spread -2.5	34%
Spread -8.5	34%
1H Spread -3.5	34%
Spread -3.5	34%
Spread -5.5	33%
Spread -4.5	33%
O/U 64.5	33%
Spread -7.5	32%
O/U 72.5	32%
Spread -9.5	32%
Spread -12.5	32%
O/U 70.5	31%
Spread -12.5	31%
Spread -10.5	31%
O/U 74.5	30%
Spread -13.5	29%
O/U 78.5	28%
Spread -6.5	28%
Spread -13.5	28%
Spread -10.5	26%
Spread -11.5	24%
Spread -17.5	18%
O/U 76.5	17%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 76% YES probability for Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas. In the upcoming college football game between UNLV and North Texas, scheduled for September 12 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "UNLV" if UNLV win the game. This market will resolve to "North…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 38.5 at 76% for "Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas".

O/U 38.5 76% Other 24%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $338K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket Qué Es, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?: Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?: On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Polymarket Qué Es trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?: The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas on Polymarket Qué Es

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Open live market →

Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Pronóstico: UNLV vs. North Texas on Polymarket Qué Es

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